This #casedemic false results issue is hard to grasp. Hopefully the below helps paint the picture.
⚠️ Dr. Malcolm Kendrick, Dr. Michael Yeadon, Prof Carl Heneghan and many many more academics and health professionals have strongly expressed their serious concerns with the reliance on this daily Hyper Testing of the public.
🧑🔬 Dr. Kendrick went one step further to receive insight from Testing Lab Technician who was even more concerned about the matter – exposing FP rates of up 5%!
Bang on the money
👌🏼 Both are absolutely right statistically. We are driving nationwide policy on incredibly unreliable data.
🌋 In a situation where prevalence is so low (as confirmed by ONS on 25th Sept as 1 in 500 people), and a Hyper Scaled testing regime, the (several) imperfections in the Test get massively amplified.
😬 ONS do report an increasing prevalence and daily incidence rate based on their statistical modelling, but nonetheless the low prevalence is incredibly problematic.
👎🏼 Compound that with a terrible Case Definition (i.e. just a positive test – no clinical diagnosis of symptoms or confirmation test), and this testing effort is next to useless.
😖 Oh, and this doesn’t even acknowledge the user and config errors across the UK’s labs. This too is a big issue, given the scaled recruitment effort and sheer pressure for daily processing volume.
The Bottom Line
😳 The BOTTOM line in this statistical analysis below is that only 0.17% of all tests are viably accurate in the detection of the Virus (not the Disease).
❗️AND, 90% of all the Positive Tests are very likely False Alarms.
‼️ Meaning that 3,000 – 4,500 people PLUS their close contacts are being demanded to (wrongly) SELF ISOLATE. Evey single day!
😩 Furthermore, these Positive Tests are locking more and more regions down, informing increasingly restrictive draconian rules on the public, and inflated the downstream hospital and death statistics.
💉 Oh, and not to forget scaring the hell out of the public, and wearing them down ready to submit to a rushed vaccine and the Flu jab.
🧮 It’s in your interest and the Public interest to get your head around this Maths and associated Science.
SOURCE: see graphic.
P.S. As Flu Season prevalence increases, the Test efficacy will marginally improve – but not my much.
COUNTER: HuffPost released a False Positive claim rebuttal. Upon review, it it is not an accurate an honest analysis, with many assumptions that the author hopes you will not challenge them on.
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