“For people under 70 years old, the median infection fatality rate of COVID-19 across 40 locations is 0.05%”
Yes, 0.05% GLOBAL IFR if you are under 70 years old! The English data is even better…
👏🏼 This and other important epidemiological stats came from a peer reviewed paper written by world renowned epidemiologist and Stanford Uni professor John P A Ioannidis, and published by… wait for it… the World Health Organisation!
ℹ️ This meta analysis paper across 61 seroprevalence and deaths studies combined with reported metrics by individual countries was published yesterday, 14th October 2020.
🏴 The insights offered allows you to conduct your own Country Analysis – in this case we’ve evaluated England.
😳 Check out the IFR’s!
😲 The previously stated 0.13% isn’t far off across the population, but look what happens if you evaluate under 70! 0.02-0.03%… and that includes 60-69 year olds!
😥 Compare that to the Cancer Mortality Rate, which sits at 0.29%! 450+ people die of cancers… every single day in this country.
👴 Over 70’s (like EVERY form of disease/injury) have a disproportionately higher IFR – 31x higher – at 0.52-1.04%
👍🏼 These COVID-19 IFR’s include the Epidemic effect of March/April 2020. They will markedly drop next year.
The full 37 page paper is linked below in the comments, directly from the WHO website. 👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼
HERE ARE A FEW IMPORTANT REMARKS FROM THE PAPER:
🔹 “Mathematical models have suggested that 40–81% of the world population could be infected”
🔹 “COVID-19 has a very steep age gradient for risk of death. Moreover, many, and in some cases most, deaths in European countries that have had large numbers of cases occurred in nursing homes.”
🔹 “Locations with many nursing home deaths may have high estimates of the infection fatality rate, but the infection fatality rate would still be low among non- elderly, non-debilitated people.”
🔹 “Poor decisions (e.g. sending COVID-19 patients to nursing homes), poor management (e.g. unnecessary mechanical ventilation) and hydroxychloroquine may also have contributed to worse outcomes.”
🔹 “Most data came from locations with high death tolls from COVID-19 and 32 of the locations had a population mortality rate higher than the global average (118 deaths from COVID-19 per million)”
Population and COVID-deaths data came from ONS and DHSC, 14th October.
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